A LOC ceasefire was agreed in February 2021 between India and Pakistan, reaffirming the 2003 agreement. A strategic analyst assesses its durability. Which factor most threatens the sustainability of LOC ceasefire agreements historically?
Q1. A LOC ceasefire was agreed in February 2021 between India and Pakistan, reaffirming the 2003 agreement. A strategic analyst assesses its durability. Which factor most threatens the sustainability of LOC ceasefire agreements historically?
Answer: Domestic political pressures in both countries that reward aggressive posturing, combined with non-state actor infiltration attempts that provoke retaliatory firing
Explanation: The February 2021 ceasefire reaffirmed the 2003 agreement but faces persistent threats from domestic political incentives in both countries that reward hawkish posturing, particularly during elections or nationalist crises. Non-state militant groups attempting infiltrations across the LOC can also trigger retaliatory firing that unravels ceasefire adherence regardless of official government intentions.